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標的:台虹/8039
本金/均價:350股/64
股本:20.4E
總大選股規則: 9/12,
股價前40名
八季盈利率不上下起伏大與連續大幅下滑
三年內曾辦過現金增資
2014/5/11最新揭露
1Q EPS0.86, 總大預計14年EPS為5.31(13年4.96)
14/4 月營收:8.3E, 年增率15%, 14/1-4月營收平均: 7.57E<13/5月8.65E(警訊可能不會有好表現)
選股主要原因: 低本益比,且高檔本益比區間穩定。
目前63.4,本益比11.94, 高檔本益比區間13.6-21
可推得高檔股價: 72-111(13%-75%),從過去行情與現在行情相比,
個人認為本益比17-19(90-100)可以分階段停利。預估報酬率 50%
季別 | 營業收入 | 營業成本 | 營業毛利 | 毛利率 | 營業利益 | 營益率 | 業外收支 | 稅前淨利 | 稅後淨利 | 每股稅後淨利 |
2014.1Q | 2,199 | 1,710 | 489 | 22.22% | 256 | 11.64% | -- | 233 | 176 | 0.86 |
2013.4Q | 2,777 | 2,165 | 612 | 22.04% | 289 | 10.39% | 83 | 372 | 278 | 1.37 |
2013.3Q | 2,887 | 2,238 | 649 | 22.48% | 378 | 13.08% | 7 | 385 | 320 | 1.58 |
2013.2Q | 2,450 | 1,922 | 528 | 21.55% | 267 | 10.91% | 46 | 313 | 244 | 1.2 |
2013.1Q | 2,025 | 1,644 | 381 | 18.81% | 179 | 8.85% | 29 | 209 | 164 | 0.81 |
2012.4Q | 2,292 | 1,928 | 364 | 15.88% | 131 | 5.72% | 12 | 144 | 125 | 0.62 |
2012.3Q | 1,955 | 1,528 | 427 | 21.83% | 236 | 12.09% | -50 | 187 | 157 | 0.78 |
2012.2Q | 2,086 | 1,644 | 443 | 21.21% | 249 | 11.92% | 1 | 250 | 204 | 1.01 |
2012.1Q | 1,520 | 1,190 | 330 | 21.72% | 167 | 10.96% | -8 | 158 | 134 | 0.66 |
年/月 | 營業收入 | 月增率 | 去年同期 | 年增率 | 累計營收 | 年增率 |
Apr-14 | 831,269 | 25.35% | 721,258 | 15.25% | 3,029,939 | 10.33% |
Mar-14 | 663,166 | -1.58% | 648,000 | 2.34% | 2,198,670 | 8.57% |
Feb-14 | 673,782 | -21.81% | 598,087 | 12.66% | 1,535,504 | 11.50% |
Jan-14 | 861,722 | 1.04% | 778,995 | 10.62% | 861,722 | 10.62% |
Dec-13 | 852,834 | -9.76% | 699,763 | 21.87% | ######## | 29.10% |
Nov-13 | 945,023 | -3.46% | 829,349 | 13.95% | 9,285,394 | 29.80% |
Oct-13 | 978,939 | -4.33% | 762,865 | 28.32% | 8,340,371 | 31.88% |
Sep-13 | 1,023,256 | 7.81% | 685,886 | 49.19% | 7,361,432 | 32.37% |
Aug-13 | 949,128 | 3.80% | 592,872 | 60.09% | 6,338,176 | 30.01% |
Jul-13 | 914,348 | 6.01% | 674,528 | 35.55% | 5,389,049 | 25.84% |
Jun-13 | 862,541 | -0.38% | 625,032 | 38.00% | 4,474,701 | 24.02% |
May-13 | 865,820 | 20.04% | 761,992 | 13.63% | 3,612,160 | 21.10% |
Apr-13 | 721,258 | 11.31% | 700,026 | 3.03% | 2,746,340 | 23.66% |
Mar-13 | 648,000 | 8.35% | 585,661 | 10.64% | 2,025,082 | 33.15% |
Feb-13 | 598,087 | -23.22% | 487,784 | 22.61% | 1,377,081 | 47.25% |
Jan-13 | 778,995 | 11.32% | 447,417 | 74.11% | 778,995 | 74.11% |
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